A few months worth of thoughts from this Royals fan

Credit: Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images

What’s it been, like nine months or so? An entire season and then some, right? So in 2023 I wrote one article. One. That is it. Ah, the days of me writing multiple pieces in a week are gone and I’m not sure how I feel about that. On one hand, I wish I wrote more and was able to go deeper on some of the thoughts I have, whether it’s the Royals or baseball in general. On the other, I just don’t have to toss my thoughts out there anymore and am fine with just being a fan who avoids social media more and more every day.

I will say that despite the Kansas City Royals being a very bad baseball team in 2023 (other synonyms for bad: awful, lame, terrible, disastrous and brutal, just to name a few) I didn’t mind watching them. It was a weird feeling knowing that Jordan Lyles was going to hop on the mound, give up 3-5 home runs, completely put the team in the tank and think ‘Well, he can’t start tomorrow, right?’. It was almost like I had this weird sense of serenity when watching the Royals since they were finally free of a false leader with a superiority complex. The team had chosen a new direction, one that felt right, that sounded right and while it looked wonky, it appeared to be a path that would lead to success.

Yes, I believe in the current path of the organization. I approve of the coaching hires, the pitching development program in the minors and I definitely think Matt Quatraro was a great hire. I still question J.J. Picollo as the Royals GM, although that has waned a bit this offseason. I definitely feel like the scouting department needs a major overhaul, but that’s an article for another time (let’s say two years from now? That work?). And I’m totally not a fan of the snake oil salesman known as the owner, John Sherman. But overall, the Royals have a solid foundation and there is hope in Kansas City again.

Credit: Elias Valverde II / The Dallas Morning News

But instead today I thought I would throw out a few questions I get asked a lot. Yes, people still ask me about the Royals. Look, I sometimes wonder why they do but then I remember that while you rarely see me post here, I still religiously follow the team. I’m still ‘deep in the weeds’. I just don’t post my thoughts that often. So for that reason, I get Royals questions all the time. So today I will answer some of them and maybe I can go back to being a hermit.

Wow! The Royals spent money this offseason. Are they going to be contenders in 2024?

Credit: Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

Yes, John Sherman, a man worth over a billion dollars, remembered that he had money he could spend on his baseball team and actually decided to do just that. If we are being honest, Picollo has assembled a nice crop of new players for Kansas City to trot out in 2024, acquiring the likes of Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo, Chris Stratton, Will Smith (no, the other Will Smith) and Mike Trout doppelganger Hunter Renfroe. The team needed to strengthen their pitching staff and from the looks of it they have done just that. With the way it looks right now, Jordan Lyles is a fifth starter at best (AT BEST). We all know Sherman spent the money to convince taxpayers to help pay for a new stadium (more on that later), but he did finally open his checkbook and the results aren’t bad.

Is it enough to make the Royals contenders. Oh boy, that feels like a loaded question. On paper it appears the team is improved but the question becomes how much? If the new acquisitions play on par with their 2023 numbers, and if the offense performs more like they did in the second half of last season and if a handful of players improve on their performance of last year and if Bobby Witt Jr. continues to prove he is ‘Bobby Baseball’, this team has a chance to contend. That sure is a lot of if’s. Look, I would love for the Royals to surprise everyone and take over the American League Central in 2024 and prove my theory of last winter, which was if any team in the division spent even a decent amount of money (any of them), the AL Central could be theirs for the taking.

Credit: Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images

But do I believe the Royals will improve their win total by 30+ games or even 20+? I’m not counting on it. If the team had some players ready in the farm system to produce and it looked like they were 1-3 players away, maybe I could believe more. But this team had so many holes last season and just expecting a lot of players performances to improve feels foolhardy. I think they will be better, but I’m talking like 15-20 games better at most. That still puts them under .500 and not a contender in the American League. I think at this point we need to take the small wins and be thankful for them. This is an organization that hasn’t had a winning season since 2015, which is getting very close to ten years ago now. I will take whatever little victories I can at this point.

Also, the team should have signed Shohei Ohtani this offseason. What a whiff.

Should the Royals trade Salvador Perez?

Credit: AP Photo/Gregory Bull

Ah, the battle between the heart and the mind. That is essentially what a trade of Salvador Perez would be. I think 3/4 of us could agree that we wouldn’t want Salvy to be traded and we would even prefer he only wear royal blue for the rest of his career. But baseball is a business and sometimes you have to make moves that aren’t popular but are better in the long-term.

From a purely numbers perspective it would make sense to trade Perez. His core numbers have dropped the last two years and the abuse he has taken behind the plate is showing signs of wear and tear. His best seasons are behind him and if we are being really honest with ourselves, Salvy should be the primary DH at this point. He’s entering his age 34 season and regression has already begun.

But would the Royals get true value for him? Probably not what they want. No team is going to value Perez the way Kansas City would. Their expectations of any trade for him are going to be higher than they should be. The lone exception to that might be the White Sox, who are trying to recreate that Kansas City feel and have people (Grifol, Tosar, Getz,etc.) who probably still see him as the glue of whatever lineup he is in. Chicago has the 16th best farm system in baseball and have done a decent job of restocking their system through trades and might continue to if Dylan Cease is dealt. But I’m not sure they have what Kansas City is looking for, even if Picollo was deathly serious about making a deal.

Toss in how Royals ownership wants the stadium bill on the April ballot and you have a recipe for Salvy not going anywhere. In the long run it’s probably the best, as the team has alienated their fanbase enough over the last couple seasons and a trade of your most popular star would probably not help. Unless something major happens, Salvy ain’t going anywhere.

Where is that Bobby Witt, Jr. extension?

Credit: Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images

We could have asked this question last winter. Actually, I think most of us were asking this question last winter. While guys like Julio Rodriguez and Corbin Carroll where getting locked in for an extended period, there was nothing when it came to Bobby. While he didn’t have a blow away rookie campaign in 2022, he did enough to make you think Kansas City should get a deal done before it cost them too much. 

Fast forward a year and Witt had a breakout second half where he looked like one of the top 20 players in the game. His value skyrocketed and now any extension is going to cost the Royals. The thing is, the longer this goes on, the more expensive it is going to get. There are no guarantees in baseball but if I had to guess, BWJ is going to be a perennial All-Star for the next 10 years and will probably be talked about for future MVP awards. Before you say it, yes, he could be that good; the kid is only 23.

So what are the Royals waiting for? For all we know, the organization has tried to lock him up and he isn’t interested at the moment. Although Bobby has said there have been talks “here and there”, whatever that means. Unless someone just comes out and says it, we don’t know that they haven’t been working on a deal. It wouldn’t shock me if they announced a long-term deal right before a certain stadium bill could be voted on in April (if you know what I’m saying). Only the Royals, Bobby and his agent know where they stand on this issue and no one is talking

What I do know is that as a fan I would like Bobby to stay with the team as long as possible and an extension would do the trick. The fear is that the Royals will wait too long and by the time they make a concerted effort, Witt has priced himself out of the team’s plans. If you are an old enough Royals fan, you remember Johnny Damon and Carlos Beltran and Jermaine Dye all price themselves out of the Royals market. I think we can all agree we don’t want to see a repeat of that with Bobby.

How do you feel about the Royals wanting a new stadium?

Credit: Kansas City Royals

For the sake of you, the reader, I’m going to try and keep this short. I have spent the last year ranting about this to my family and friends and I don’t need to put anyone else through that. This is a very passionate topic for me and because of that I have a lot of opinions about it. So…here we go.

Do I want a new stadium? No.

Do I feel the Royals need a new stadium? No.

Does it feel dirty how Royals ownership has gone about trying to convince the fans they need a new stadium? Yes.

Do I feel taxpayers should help pay for a new a stadium or any stadium at all? Hell no.

Is this really all about real estate and John Sherman making bank off of the area around the stadium? God yes.

Look, if I felt the Royals needed a new stadium and this made sense I would be for it. Nothing lasts forever, especially baseball stadiums. But that is not what is going on here and most of us can see that. John Sherman wants to make money off of the real estate and a new stadium is how he gets that. This is a rich man trying to get richer. It has nothing to do with baseball and everything to do with lining Sherman’s pockets.

The Royals are bound and determined to get a new stadium. They aren’t for sure where or when, but they will get their stadium. There is even the chance that voters vote down the bill and the team looks to move to a different city. Yes, there is an outside chance Kansas City could lose the team and someplace like Nashville could get the Royals. That is obviously the worst case scenario, but it would be foolish to ignore that possibility. 

I don’t like this and I never have but I realize I have zero say in this and they are going to do whatever they want to do. I don’t believe any taxpayer should pay for a sports stadium when these teams are owned by millionaires and billionaires; you know, people who can afford these pricey buildings. To have taxpayers help pay, when they will receive none of the profit from the stadium, sure does feel like a kick in the groin. The biggest con in sports is convincing fans to help pay for their stadiums and over the years that con has appeared to work. I just hope Kansas City fans don’t fall for it.

I think that is about all I’m going to say about it. I love ‘The K’ and would like for it to last as long as possible but that appears to be me asking for too much. I will say that if there are things on your bucket list that you would like to see at Kauffman Stadium, I would suggest start marking those wants and needs off soon. If you don’t, you might turn around and realize you can’t mark them off anymore because the stadium isn’t there.

Why do you hardly write anymore?

Credit: AP Photo/Charlie Riedel

Technically this question isn’t Royals related, but I do get asked every now and then why I rarely write anymore. I’m sometimes thrown back by this, since there are a ton of people who write about baseball and there are so many opinions out there that the idea of losing just one lone voice doesn’t feel like a big issue. I appreciate everyone who reads my stuff but I’m just one guy who has loved the Royals since I was a little kid. Remember, I’m a big picture kinda guy.

The main reason that I don’t write very much is I just don’t have the time. My schedule has gradually been getting busier and busier since about 2018 and I can’t seem to slow it down. I used to be able to write at work late at night, since I would have an hour or two I could use for myself. I used to also have time to myself in general, which I rarely get anymore. But the real culprit is work.

Starting in 2018, I was pretty much splitting my time at work between days and nights. Rather than just have one consistent shift, my schedule bounced around a lot because I was the guy who filled in for everyone. When the pandemic happened in 2020, I was furloughed, which you would think meant I would have more time. But the honesty of the situation was that most people were at home, including my wife. It became harder for me to focus when writing and with other people around it became almost impossible.

Then in early 2021 I became the midday guy. We already were short on people and now even more was going to be asked of me. Add in our program director leaving in July of that year and work just got a lot more complicated. Ever since then, I am mentally drained by the time I get home and don’t really have the energy to churn out a piece on why Jordan Lyles is a great batting practice pitcher.

I’ve also been okay with just being a fan. Look, I love baseball and I love writing about it but I’m never going to make a living off of this. It was always just a fun thing to do so I could talk baseball. I still have all these thoughts and opinions about the sport but I just don’t feel anymore like I have to put them out into the world.

I’ve said this the last few years but I just don’t know how much time I will devote to this blog moving forward. I wrote one article last year and this is already tying my 2023 total. I would like to shoot for once a month but I know there are periods where my schedule is just super hectic. If you give me the option of watching a baseball game or writing about it, I’m probably going to just watch it. So I appreciate everyone who reads this and I hope that this isn’t my only post for the year: Fingers crossed.

Credit: Charlie Riedel/AP

So there you go, a few thoughts I have on our Kansas City Royals. 2023 was a rough year for our boys in blue but it looks like this new year could bring them a few more wins. More than anything, I hope all the bumps in the road over the last 4 years hasn’t killed your interest in this team and I hope you at least give them a chance in 2024.

Mary Tyler Moore once said “Take chances, make mistakes. That’s how you grow.” Wise words but I tend to lean more toward the great philosopher Homer Simpson when he said “Don’t worry son, everyone makes mistakes. Yours is just public and expensive”. To me that sums up the Royals of the last couple seasons. Let’s hope there are fewer mistakes in the new season.

A Positive Direction For the Royals

Credit: Kansas City Star

You might of heard that the Kansas City Royals made some sweeping changes across their coaching staff this past winter. Matt Quatraro is the new manager. Paul Hoover is his right hand man in the role of bench coach. Brian Sweeney is the new pitching coach while Zach Bove is the assistant pitching coach. The team even added Jose Alguacil as the infield coach and Mitch Stetter was bumped up to bullpen coach. As David Bowie use to sing about, it’s all about ch-ch-ch-ch-changes.

It’s hard not to be on board with a complete restructure for this organization. Last season started out with hope that the Royals could start making some big steps forward with all their drafted young talent and instead their season took a giant nosedive into a new level of ineptitude. The few times I wrote last year, it was about how bad this team was and how they needed to move in a new direction. To be honest with you, for the first team in a very, very long time, I checked out.

Why did I check out? For many reasons but the main one was that it was painfully obvious the team needed to try something different and Mike Matheny, Cal Eldred and even Dayton Moore weren’t getting the job done. So what did the front office do to fix things? Nothing. Sure, they shuffled the hitting coach out of town but that wasn’t even the biggest area of worry for the team and felt like a change to appease fans like me into thinking they were doing something, anything. But their lack of action to fix the other areas of the team pushed me away. If they didn’t care to be better, I didn’t care whether I gave the team my time. Simple as that.

Credit: USA Today

But a new day is now here and yes, I am back in the fold. I was never going to fully go away; did you forget I bleed royal blue? I even broke down and give Bally Sports money every month despite the fact I think the price for their app is ridiculous (another article for another time, am I right?). So just like many other Royals fans I have been watching the team and many people around me have said ‘The Royals are 4-9. It’s the same ol’ team. Shuffle the deck, but they always lose’. And while yes, they technically do have a losing record and will more than likely have a losing record when all 162 games have been played this season, this is not the same old Royals. In fact I would argue that we can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel.

Let’s start with the hitting. On the surface, the offense has been grim. Next to last in the league in runs scored, wOBA, wRC+ and on-base percentage and 13th in home runs. None of that is a positive that can be spun any other way than just the Royals aren’t getting on base enough and aren’t scoring enough runs. Add in a paltry walk rate and a high strike out percentage and you can see why they are 4-9. But as I’m sure you have seen, there are some positives with the Royals hitters.

Their line drive rate and hard hit rate are in the middle of the pack and their ground ball rate is in the bottom fifth of the league. But they are 4th in fly ball rate which means they are putting the ball in the air much more than on the ground, and in today’s world of baseball that is a positive. Just to give you an idea, the Tampa Bay Rays are the hottest team in baseball and are leading the AL in hard hit rate and fly ball rate while posting the lowest ground ball rate in the league. The Rays are the model that Kansas City’s coaching staff is following, so it only makes sense that they are doing things very similar to them.

Want some more? The Royals have the 4th highest exit velocity in the league, 6th in barrel percentage and second in hard hit percentage according to Statcast. So when the Royals hit the ball, they are hitting the ball hard and squaring up the ball. They’ve obviously run into some bad luck, as evidence by the lowest BABIP in the league. If you know anything about batting average on balls in play, you know that the likelihood that those numbers continue to stay at the bottom are slim. If you are doing everything right when it comes to barrels and hitting the ball hard, the ball WILL eventually find a hole and WILL get you on base. What I’m saying is that the futility we have seen so far won’t last all season.

Credit: Ron Schwane/Getty Images

One more little nugget I want to add to the offense. This is a very young team and it’s very evident with the lineup. On a nightly basis, there is a good chance that at least five or more members of the lineup are in their first or second year in the majors. With a young team, you are going to see struggles, especially as they adjust to being a big leaguer and dealing with stressful situations. To say this will probably be a streaky offense throughout 2023 is probably a safe assumption. Yes, there is a ton of upside with the Royals bats, but realize with that comes the normal struggles and slumps that almost every young player has dealt with. Just ask George Brett.

But what about the pitching? Look, we all are laser focused on the pitching considering how bad it has been for years. Last year, Kansas City’s pitching was last in ERA, FIP, K%, BB%, WHIP, next to last in pitching WAR and 13th in win probability. To say we all wanted Cal Eldred’s head on a stick is an understatement and looking back now it blows my mind that he was given five years to be a pitching coach when it was very obvious he was not qualified for the job. Still not sold on why Dayton Moore was fired? Look at his resistance to let Eldred go as the biggest sign that he was not making good decisions to help the organization move forward.

To watch the Royals pitchers this year, it is the biggest breath of fresh air this organization has had in years. It’s early (and because of that, we’ll throw out the line about small sample size that is a favorite) but so far in 2023, the Royals are 9th in ERA, FIP, K%, WAR, 6th lowest BB%, 8th in WHIP and 7th in win probability. To go from pretty much the worst pitching staff in the league to middle of the pack shows how much of an impact Sweeney and Bove have had on the pitchers in a short amount of time and to me is a sign that they were the right choices for the job.

This is where I point out that this is pretty much the same pitching staff that the Royals had last year and the numbers are trending upward. Brad Keller has a new curveball that has turned him into a moderate strike out pitcher. Kris Bubic is throwing a new slider (which he was actually using in Spring Training back in 2022 but never used it in a regular season game) and looks like a completely different pitcher. Aroldis Chapman’s velocity has skewed down for years now and all of a sudden he is throwing 102-103 MPH again. Outside of Dylan Coleman, almost every Royals pitcher has either improved on last year or are basically where they were last year when it comes to their development.

Credit: AP Photo/Chris O’Meara

This is not to say there won’t be bumps in the road. We still haven’t seen Daniel Lynch this season and no one is guaranteed an A+ outing every time they go out there. But it is impressive to see the progress from the pitching staff in such a short amount of time. Once again, it makes you wonder how much farther along this team would be if only the front office had addressed these issues sooner rather than later. But in the here and now, it appears as if the Royals are in an upward trajectory that is bringing a lot of us hope. Speaking of:

I read this tweet on Wednesday night from the great Rany (and when it comes to Royals writers that are on a pedestal for me, Rany & Craig Brown are as good as it gets) and that was exactly how I felt. The entire first week of the season I kept saying to my wife that it felt like a completely different team and organization but I wasn’t for sure if some of that wasn’t because I skipped out on last season. I thought it might be a byproduct of my absence in 2022 that was giving me hope I hadn’t had with this team in years.

But I really do think the team is headed in the right direction. I do feel like the proper decisions are being made and that thought and logic are being used on a daily basis. This isn’t to say things are always going to be rainbows and lollipops; I still think this team won’t reach .500 this year and there will be struggles that will go on longer than we want. But I see so much positive that as long as they keep on this road and adjust when necessary, things will be fine.

I was watching an interview with the new Royals skipper earlier this week and Q’s demeanor to me is one of the biggest changes that was necessary for this team to move forward:

The positives. Quatraro is so laid back and I even heard him the other day make the comment to the effect that “we lost today but we’ll just go out and try to win tomorrow”. When Matheny was in the dugout, it always felt like the team was anxious and that he was too intense for what this younger Kansas City team needed. The relaxed vibe has appeared to do wonders for their psyche and given them the opportunity to put losses in the rearview mirror quicker than they did last year. Q feels like the polar opposite of Matheny and shows he is the right man for where the Royals are at right now.

Credit: Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Still not sold? Let me put it another way for you. Progress for a baseball team isn’t always a win-loss situation. Sometimes, even in losses, the advancement is what you learn and takeaway from a loss and how you adjust from it. Over the last few years, it felt like when the Royals would have big losing streaks, it was because they weren’t learning anything from what they were doing incorrectly. To put it another way, they kept making the same mistakes and expecting different results. That is the definition of insanity.

This year’s team? They are learning and making changes as they go. It sometimes will result in another loss, sometimes they will eke out a win. But learning is the key. The best part is the coaching staff is putting them in the best situation to win and giving them the tools they need. The last few years it felt like there were always more questions than answers. Now, there are answers to most of the questions. Folks, this a different Royals team than what you remember. It might not happen this year, but I firmly believe soon this will be a winning ballclub. And when that happens, I hope you are there for the ride. If anything, they are giving us hope and sometimes that is all we need.

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